Area Real Estate News & Market Trends

You’ll find our blog to be a wealth of information, covering everything from local market statistics and home values to community happenings. That’s because we care about the community and want to help you find your place in it. Please reach out if you have any questions at all. We’d love to talk with you!

Oct. 21, 2020

Should we sell our home or keep it as a rental?

 

Remote working and the global pandemic have caused people to re-think where they want to live.
For many in dense urban communities, the possibility of moving to a vacation community or a more
isolated area may be appealing. If they own a home in the city, they may be wondering if they should sell
that home or keep it as a rental. In order to make an informed decision here are a few things to consider.
This article is strictly meant to be thought provoking and should not in any way be considered legal
advice.

 

Can you afford to keep the home? This is often the foremost question to consider. If you’ve built equity,
do you need to cash in on the equity by selling your home for a down payment on a new home? Also,
if you are buying another home, can you qualify for a mortgage without selling the home you currently
own? Even if you are not buying another home you should ask yourself if the rental income will cover
the mortgage, maintenance, and management costs of the home as a rental. 

 

Will you self-manage the property? One important decision you will need to make is whether or not
you will hire a management company. A management company may greatly reduce the time, energy, and
liability you incur as opposed to managing the property yourself. The management company will prepare
the legal documents between you and the renter, collect the rents and deposits, coordinate maintenance,
run background checks, and may even assist in the unfortunate need for eviction proceedings. In return
for these and other services, you will need to pay the management company a fee. Commonly it is a
percentage of the rental income and this should be factored into your operating expenses.

 

Are you ready for the risk? Every investment includes the element of risk and reward; real estate is no
different. Thoughtful research of the rental rates, vacancy rates, and property appreciation rates should be
taken into consideration.

 

On one hand, a well performing rental property will have positive cash flow each month, ideally the value
of the property will appreciate over time, and the principal balance of the mortgage (if one exists) will
decrease, thusly increasing the overall value of the investment. This is a great scenario. On the other
hand, decreasing rental rates, declining property values, and vacancy can quickly become a financial
burden. Ask yourself if you are prepared for such an event.

 

What is your tax situation? There may be tax benefits to consider such as capital gains taxes when
renting. Generally speaking, if you’ve lived in your home and it’s been your primary residence for 2 of
the last 5 years, you can take up to $250,000 if you are single (or $500,000 for a married couple filing
jointly) of gain tax free when you sell the home. If you have more gain and are using the property as an
investment property at the time that you sell it, you may be able to use a 1031 exchange and defer the tax
on the gain over and above the $250,000 (or $500,000). This can be important in appreciating real estate
markets where you speculate the property will continue to go up in value. There are many other tax
factors to consider, so for best practice always consult with a professional.

 

The overall mindset of anyone who considers becoming a landlord should be; take care and caution.
Consult your real estate, tax, and legal advisors. Your initial due diligence will pay big dividends for
years to come and the next time you’re faced with the same big decision you’ll be armed with knowledge.

 From: First American Exchange Company

 

Posted in Market Updates
Sept. 30, 2020

Liko at Hoopili

Ewa Beach,9/30/2020 --Lottery starts this week for D.R. Horton's newest development,  Liko at
Ho‘opili. Homes start at $736,510 and range in size from 1,108 and 1,832. 

Currently there are no models to view but the exterior will be similar to the Olena with a similar interior to Aulu.  Check out the developer's video tour of some of it nearby developments here LIKO VIDEO TOUR 

The single family homes at Liko will feature a "contemporary design" and an interior living space with modern finishes. These Ewa Beach Homes for sales will offer 6 floor plans that feature 3 and 4 bedroom layouts with a two-car attached garage that are PV (photovoltaic) and EV ready. The Eono floor plan has features the bonus ADU unit for multigenerational living or a rental unit. This floor plan in particular will go fast as the second living space make it a wise investment. 

LOTTERY ENTRY STARTS NOW: DR Horton Hawaii releases the 2nd lottery release of Liko; offering new Oahu homes for sale in Ewa Beach
Application Deadline Friday Oct 2nd, 2020 at 5:00pm
Lottery Drawing Sunday Oct 4th at 10:00AM

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Posted in Market Updates
Sept. 28, 2020

How Can Housing Affordability Improve During Periods of Economic Decline When House Prices Rise

Written By Mark Fleming – September 28, 2020

Affordability improved in July as two of the three key drivers of the Real House Price Index (RHPI), household income and mortgage rates, swung in favor of increased affordability, outpacing the rise in nominal house price appreciation. The average 30-year, fixed mortgage rate fell by 0.75 percentage points and household income increased 5.5 percent compared with July 2019. Declining mortgage rates and rising household income levels both increase consumer house-buying power. So, even though nominal house price appreciation jumped 8.2 percent annually in July, it was not enough to offset the affordability boost from declining rates and rising household income.


“Recent history has shown that in times of economic distress, lower mortgage rates have offset the affordability drag from faster house price appreciation and lower household income.”


While there remains debate regarding the actual end date of the 2020 recession, there is no argument that the economic pain inflicted by the coronavirus continues to linger. Yet, housing affordability nationally has improved, and the housing market remains resilient. But, how have nominal house prices and affordability fared in previous economic declines and what can that tell us about today’s housing market?

How Nominal House Prices Fare During Recessions
The chart below shows how nominal house prices and the RHPI reacted to the four most recent recessions, including the current pandemic-driven economic downturn. It is important to note that a declining RHPI trend line indicates improving affordability, and a rising RHPI trend line signals worsening affordability.

With the exception of the Great Recession in 2008-2009 and a modest decline in the 1990 recession, nominal house prices have remained flat or risen slowly, but have not declined. This demonstrates the “downside stickiness” of house prices during economic decline. In the pandemic-driven recession of 2020, we’ve seen house price appreciation grow faster than in any of the economic declines in our recent past.

This phenomenon of continued house price appreciation amid economic decline is unique to the housing market because sellers tend to withdraw supply to wait out the economic storm, rather than sell at lower prices. During the Great Recession, house prices declined because of a flood of foreclosures and distressed selling, which were a product of rapid house price appreciation not entirely supported by economic fundamentals. In today’s market, nominal house price appreciation has been driven by a historic shortage of supply relative to demand.

092820 RHPI chart

Real House Prices Then Versus Now
In three of the four economic downturns we examined, affordability as measured by the RHPI improved. Why? The RHPI adjusts nominal house prices for purchasing power by considering how income levels and interest rates influence the amount one can borrow. While nominal house prices may continue to rise during a recession and median household incomes tend to remain the same or fall, mortgage rates typically decline. The popular 30-year, fixed mortgage rate is loosely benchmarked to the 10-year Treasury bond and, in times of economic uncertainty, investors flee stocks and rush to bonds, pushing yields down, which brings mortgage rates down as well.

The only exception is the 2001 recession, when incomes fell and house price appreciation continued to rise, while mortgage rates also increased slightly at the beginning of the recession, causing a modest decline in affordability. The interplay between mortgage rates, income, and house price appreciation drive affordability trends. In the 2020 economic downturn, while house prices have continued to rise, rates have fallen to historic lows and income has grown modestly, resulting in an affordability boost.

Will the Trend Continue?
Nominal house price appreciation is showing no signs of slowing down, as supply and demand imbalances persist. While mortgage rates have, thus far, won the affordability tug-of-war nationally, some housing markets are beginning to feel the impact of pandemic-driven job losses on household income levels. In these markets, accelerating house price appreciation, in conjunction with flat or falling income levels, is dragging affordability down. The lesson? Affordability is resilient in the face of economic downturns, but just how resilient depends on the dynamics of mortgage rates, income, and house price appreciation.

 

Posted in Market Updates